Tuesday, 6 March 2012

China’s New GDP Forecast Impacted Markets in the World. Adding Greece to the discussion, optimism is losing the places won in the past weeks in Europe.

The figures about a revised down of the growth of the GDP in China, from 8 percent to 7.5 percent, caused negative reacti0ons to the markets in the World. The European stock markets opened lower today, also affected by the risk caused in Greece of a possible default. ... Read More



Monday, 5 March 2012

New Revised GDP Figures: reduce in UK and China, but it still represents a positive forecast. Sterling decreases as a result of these events and more pounds in the market.
Today the British Chamber of Commerce met together to revise down the data about the economic output and growth this year for the UK. According to the office, UK’s GDP will have a growth of 0.6 percent instead of 0.8 percent. This result, however, given the actual conjuncture in Europe and thus, in the world, means that no matter what Britain will escape from the phantom of recession, taking into consideration the -0.2 percent in growth performed in Q4 2011. ....Read More


Sunday, 4 March 2012

A week of new support from the ECB, with Spain and Greece making concerns. British Banks Borrowed £31 bn from the LTRO.
This week has represented a new beginning for the fight against the euro crisis. There have been new actions from the ECB, and policies regarding the prevention of new crisis like the one Europe suffer(ed).
The leaders of the 25 nation’s representative of the European Union were reunited in Brussels, signing a new treaty to overcome this situation and make sure the whole continent won’t repeat this stressful period again. Basically, this is the so called “fiscal compact” that leaders, such as Mario Monti, Italy’s Prime Minister, was calling in order to reach the salvation and fix the defects that right now the union has and does not permit the economy rise together. ....Read More







Friday, 2 March 2012

With the expansionist monetary policy, the euro falls against the dollar.

After the increase of monetary supply from the ECB, ad helped with the declarations of the US Reserve chairman, Ben Bernanke, the euro decreased in its value against the dollar.
In a week where Europe make a huge injection of money, primary intended to the banking sector, the contrast is notable with more conservative policies coming from the United States, with a strategy of more monetary easing. The result of this, after all, is a low value for the euro against the dollar, the lowest in one week.....Read More



Thursday, 1 March 2012

A new blast of money from the ECB to Europe: Minimize the risk of a credit crunch and focus in growth
The ECB went to the markets to grant the second funding to the financial markets, with low rate loans. The total amount rises up to £444 bn, and the main objective is to give liquidity to the banks in order to minimize the risk and stay away from the credit crunch. Another positive consequence is that, ....Read More



Wednesday, 29 February 2012

Not only western countries show “negative” figures. But the market seems calmed, and the expectation of a new injection of funds from the ECB is about to boost investors’ appetite.

Negative GDP figures are not only an issue of today’s west economies. In the last quarter 2011, India’s economic GDP growth showed a slow growth, compared to the weakest one registered three years ago. The difference with developed countries is that, this growth, for the period October-December, rose up to 6.1 percent..... Read More





Tuesday, 28 February 2012

HSBC comes to the rescue with positive news from the annual statements; the sterling instead, seems to show investor’s cautiousness about UK’s economy.


HSBC, the Biggest bank in the UK, and in Europe, presented its results for the year 2011. The bank, different from Lloyds and RBS, had in the last year positive figures, showing profits for £13.8 bn, a growth of around 15 percent respect to 2010.
Despite this, analyst were stipulating pre-tax profits bigger than the real ones, reported in £14.1 bn, which is not bad at all, especially if compared to the other banks mentioned above,...Read More


Monday, 27 February 2012

There comes a new Sun every Sunday, but the sun these days does not always shine to the economy and financial markets.

After the decline and consequently, polemic closure of News of the World in July, Rupert Murdoch hits again the tabloids on Sunday with Sun on Sunday. The first emend is to achieve high ethical standards, and the first edition proves to follow this path, especially after the scandals of the last paper, in which 10 journalists got arrested for several charges of corruption.
With an editorial titled “A new Sun rises today”, the sun, that will be seen every seven days, is filled with celebrity news, show business and new columnists, the paper will focus on convincing people of the rules of conduct they follow, in order for the readers to begin again to trust. ....Read More



Sunday, 26 February 2012

After RBS, comes Lloyds with negative results, in a week with changes in the monetary policy



At the end of this week, Lloyds Banking Group reported a loss of £3.5 bn for the period of 2011. This negative figure, obtained before tax, makes a contrast of the results obtained in 2010, when the bank had a profit of £281m.
The bank, which is 41 percent tax-payer owned, declared also, through Antionio Horta-Osorio, the Chief Executive, that 2012 will be a tougher year than the previous one.....Read More






Friday, 24 February 2012

UK’s Economy contracted 0.2% in the fourth quarter 2011 – Guilty: Business Investment


The Office for National Statistics announced its review of the UK’s Economy for the end of 2011, revising it down to 0.7 percent with a previous estimation of 0.8 percent. Nevertheless, with the whole 2011 revision, the UK GDP shrank by 1 percent, going from 0.9 percent to the actual 0.8 percent.
Despite the fact that expenses from the side of consumers grew 0.5 percent, this increase did not help significantly to the overall economy....Read More



Thursday, 23 February 2012

RBS announces £2bn Losses- More than Last year but far away from 2008


RBS, the Royal Bank of Scotland, announced the financial results of 2011, reporting a £2bn losses. After the negative news, the Bank also made a confirmation of the payment of £390 m in bonuses, to the 17,000 investment bankers, completing a total of £785m in total bonuses payments, to all of RBS’s employees. Despite this, the total outflow in bonuses has decreased respect to 2010, in 43%, mainly due to this situation, and for RBS’s investment bank, it is a reduction of about 60%, when last year the bank gave £950m.....Read More

Wednesday, 22 February 2012

Bank of England: Divided decisions to stimulate UK’s Economy, helping Pounds fall
The policymakers that belong to the bank of England were analyzing this month the possibility to inject another stimulus to the British economy. In this discussion, David Miles and Adam Posen decided to a bigger quantity, of £75 bn boost, in order to increase the money supply and keep the rates under control. The rest of the MPC, nonetheless, voted for a minor stimulus, of £50 bn, that, according to them, is sufficient enough to keep the inflation objective of 2 percent according to their forecasts, and that a bigger number would maybe send a mixed signal to the market:.....Read More

Tuesday, 21 February 2012


Markets in Europe began to recover confidence, even if Greece will struggle to reach the objectives and keep pulling down the European Economy



The GDP Growth of the biggest economies (the OECD Economies) fell only 0.1 percent in the last quarter of 2011, according to the OECD. Even if it is a provisional data, it is still a significant sign that the countries were not so attacked by the perception of a new credit crunch in the Euro Zone. With negative numbers in important countries such as Italy (-0.7 percent) and Japan (-0.6 percent), UK and Germany both felt a decline of 0.2 percent, even if the latter ones helped in the overall 2011 positive performance. With this, the main factor behind the scenes continues to be Greece, which according to the IMF, the ECB and the European Commission of Greece’s debt, the country will find really steep the mountain to reach the target of 120 percent of its debt to GDP by 2020, needing among other things......Read More


Monday, 20 February 2012

Greece is expecting today the decision for the bailout and S&P has begun to analyze Japan’s situation.
Today is expected to be taken the final decision concerning Greece’s second bailout, on a day where the finance ministers that belong to the Euro Zone approve it and give a strong signal to the markets in the counter attack of Europe’s debt crisis. In this event will also be present the Prime Minister of Greece, Lucas Papademos, who practically took a last minute flight in order to secure the complete rescue package, where Germany is still analyzing the conditions to obtain it....Read More


Tuesday, 14 February 2012

Moody’s assessed a negative outlook today after cutting, as they anticipated, the ratings for Spain, Portugal and Italy, to A1, Ba2, and A2, respectively, with also, a negative outlook. Other countries were also downgraded, and this continuous menace has impacted UK, issuing a warning to the financial market of this country. The uncertainty regarding the fiscal consolidation, and the macro economical conjuncture of the Euro area, were the triggers to this action.

The exchange rate GBP/USD changed to 1, 5686. On the other hand, EUR/ USD fell quickly to 1, 3128, and the AUD/USD is in the level of 1, 0664. These are the events that were influenced by the previous news about the new position of the rating agency Moody’s. This will have also some effect into the investors’ minds, continuing to lower their expectations in the European market, and watching UK being under observation, decreases their confidence, and subsequently, their willingness to put or leave their money in these markets.......Read More


Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Bank of England governor Sir Mervyn King has said the road to economic recovery in the UK will be long, arduous and uneven.

"After
decades in which the stock of debt built up rapidly, there is a reappraisal," he was quoted saying in the speech.

Sir Mervyn said falling inflation and subdued wage growth nevertheless gave
the financial institution more scope to act.

"There is scope for
interest rates to keep low, and, if needed, for additional asset purchases," he added.

Official figures released
the other day demonstrated that the individual Prices Index (CPI) measure of inflation in England fell to 4.2% in December, down from 4.8% in November.

Speaking
working in Brighton, Sir Mervyn explained that low development in Great Britain economy has not been only due to inflation but additionally down to households tightening their belts as a result of worries about jobs and future income.

"Households
overall have been net savers, as opposed to net borrowers, for every of history 36 months," he stated.....Read More

Monday, 23 January 2012

Vodafone's acquisition of Hutchison Essar is not liable to Indian taxation, a court has ruled, as the 2007 transaction took place outside the sub-continent - despite Essar being based there.

Vodafone and Hutchison successfully argued at the Indian Supreme Court that as neither company is headquartered in India they don't have to stump up for local capital-gains tax, which could have hit £3bn once all the various penalties for late payment were included.

So now the Indian government will have to pay back the bonds and guarantees amounting to several hundred million quid which Vodafone was forced to hand over during the four years the case rumbled on.

The Indian tax office reckoned Vodafone should have handed over £1.4bn in capital gains tax before the deal was allowed to go through in 2007, and won a couple of rounds at court before the matter reached the Supreme Court whose ruling is final...Read more

Saturday, 21 January 2012

The European Union’s revenues contributed by AAA-rated member states dropped to 33 percent of 2011

The European Union had its long- and short-term issuer credit ratings of AAA/A-1+ affirmed by Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services, a week after the company cut the AAA ratings of France and Austria.
The outlook is negative because of “ongoing risks” for the Eurozone, S&P said. The long-term rating was removed from CreditWatch negative, where it was placed on Dec. 7.
The European Union’s revenues contributed by AAA-rated member states dropped to 33 percent of 2011 budgeted revenues from 49 percent before the Jan. 13 downgrade. In last week’s review, Germany and Slovakia were only two of the 16 countries that were given a stable outlook.
“Nevertheless, in our opinion, the supranational entity known as the EU benefits from multiple layers of debt-service protection sufficient to offset the current deterioration we see in member states’ creditworthiness,” Frank Gill, an analyst with S&P in London..... Read more

Tuesday, 13 December 2011

The Euro plunged towards the lowest level into two months against the U.S Dollar, as Moody's Investors Service plans to evaluate the ratings of EU nations, since the market remained disappointed that no concrete plan was agreed yesterday. The single currency was down 1.5% up against the Dollar yesterday, touching the minimum level since October 4th and over days gone by month, the Euro could be the biggest loser one of the 10 developed nations.

Considering that head on the ECB Jean Claude Trichet stepped down and was replaced by Mario Draghi, the central bank has evolved policy and it has begun to cut interest rates, removing on the list of Euro's main supports. Analysts are reducing their forecasts for your Euro in conjunction with the fastest pace this year .... Read More


Thursday, 8 December 2011

Following the first half a year spent over the break-even line U.S. equity indices moved lower in early August and hit a yearly low in very quick time.
Following the first half a year spent over the break-even line U.S. equity indices moved lower in early August and hit a yearly low in very quick time. After placing base, the forex market rallied up 10% in six days, dropped 7% in 3 days, rallied up 9% in more effective and also and also in 2 in two days dropped 8%.
That's then a two-day move that rallied up 5% and dropped 6% within the next a couple of days, and also over the examples below five days rallied up 7%. Over the next three days a drop of 9% was seen.
The next major move was obviously a rally up of 7%, as well as a subsequent four-day move that dropped 10%, culminating along with the re-setting of yearly lows on October 4th. The subsequent 5 days rallied up 11%.
Traders then saw two big gaps to the highs of August which are then two large gaps down, with both moves happening in Futures trade in front of this individual 9-to-5 cash market open.
A smaller rally up was accompanied by another big day down. Within a couple of days it has another Futures market gap up, followed by another big drop for the reason that market transpired 9% in 7 days.
A couple weeks ago saw 2 days that gapped up by 6%,
....Read More